FutureSim — 2026-08-05

228 forecasts · 226 active · 2 resolved today · regenerated 2026-08-05 01:18Z

Paper PnL · cumulative

$+247.75 (2 open · $+246.75 realized)

Avg Brier (resolved today)

0.000 lower is better; 0 = perfect, 1 = totally wrong

Signals not traded (untradable book)

0 every fresh edge today had a fillable book

Skill vs market (all forward-resolved)

0.025 vs 0.034 agent vs market Brier over 93 resolutions · 1.4× closer · head-to-head 32/36/25

Real-money readiness — paper-driven gates

The FutureSim paper evaluates the agent against ground truth (Brier), not against market price. Beating the market net of friction is a strictly harder bar — these three gates have to clear before paper becomes real. See docs/futuresim-research.md § Real-money readiness.

Gate	Current	Threshold	Status
Forward-resolved marketsCounted only when the agent predicted a market while it was OPEN and then watched it resolve. Hindsight forecasts on already-closed markets (the RESULTS-SINCE-LAST-SESSION history bundled into every run) don't count.	99	≥ 50	PASS ✓
Net paper PnL (after taker fees)Beating the market net of friction is a strictly harder bar than the paper's Brier-vs-truth evaluation. Fees use Polymarket's live per-category taker caps per 100 shares (geopolitics $0, politics/macro/AI $1.00, crypto $1.75) charged at entry — redemption at resolution is free.	$+229.02 over 20 closed	> $0 across ≥ 50 closed	NO
Calibration RMSEReported only once gate 1 passes — RMSE on fewer than 50 resolved predictions is noise.	0.136	< 0.10	NO

❌ DO NOT BET real money — gates not yet cleared.

Gates pool across models by design — they measure the system (harness + evidence + watchlist + model), so a model swap carries the evidence forward instead of resetting. Forward-resolved by agent: minimalHarness_gpt-55_001 (97), minimalHarness_gpt-56-sol_001 (2).

Top edges — active markets

Title	Agent	Market	Δ	Resolves
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 4, 2026?	82%	66%	+16.5pp	2026-08-04
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 4, 2026?	4%	13%	-8.6pp	2026-08-04
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?	29%	24%	+4.5pp	2026-08-30
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 11, 2026?	17%	13%	+4.0pp	2026-08-11
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	33%	29%	+4.0pp	2026-09-30
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 in August?	12%	16%	-3.6pp	2026-09-01
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 8, 2026?	76%	80%	-3.0pp	2026-08-08
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?	44%	48%	-3.0pp	2026-08-12
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $7.00 and $7.50 on August 31, 2026?	4%	8%	-3.0pp	2026-08-31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?	12%	16%	-3.0pp	2026-09-01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	29%	26%	+3.0pp	2026-09-01
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?	78%	82%	-3.0pp	2026-09-01

Title

Agent

Market

Resolves

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 4, 2026?

82%

66%

+16.5pp

2026-08-04

Will Iran target a Arab country on August 4, 2026?

13%

-8.6pp

2026-08-04

Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?

29%

24%

+4.5pp

2026-08-30

Will Iran target a Arab country on August 11, 2026?

17%

13%

+4.0pp

2026-08-11

Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?

33%

29%

+4.0pp

2026-09-30

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 in August?

12%

16%

-3.6pp

2026-09-01

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 8, 2026?

76%

80%

-3.0pp

2026-08-08

Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?

44%

48%

-3.0pp

2026-08-12

Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $7.00 and $7.50 on August 31, 2026?

-3.0pp

2026-08-31

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?

12%

16%

-3.0pp

2026-09-01

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?

29%

26%

+3.0pp

2026-09-01

Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?

78%

82%

-3.0pp

2026-09-01

Skill — cumulative Brier, agent vs market

Every market the agent predicted while it was OPEN and then watched resolve, in resolution order. Agent's last forecast vs the market's last open price, both scored against the outcome. Lower is better; the gap is the edge. The market price is same-day or fresher than the agent's carried belief, so the comparison never favours the agent. Those 93 resolutions span 31 title families (largest: 16 rungs of “will wti crude oil”). Ladder rungs of one question correlate almost perfectly, so the effective sample is closer to the family count than to the resolution count — and topics can correlate across families too.

Belief evolution — top markets by edge

Execution — trigger loop

No triggers today. Last tick blocked on: resolved 98, edge_small 90, price_band 74, belief_stale 48, horizon_short 43, risk 9.

Trade-the-move (convergence) — second PnL track

Same entries as the hold track, but each position is sold when the market price converges to the agent's number (green fill), stopped on a 15pp adverse move (amber), or held to resolution (fallback). Solid = agent, dashed = market; the shaded gap is the edge being harvested. Separate from the readiness gates — a parallel backtest.

Strategy	Realized	At risk (unrealized)	Open
Hold to resolution	$+246.75	$+1.00	2
Trade the move	$+138.20	$+0.00	0

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026? · NO · +$45.00 (converged, 1d)

GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026? · NO · +$35.00 (converged, 1d)

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extens · NO · +$26.50 (converged, 1d)

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May? · YES · $-24.50 (resolved, 70d)

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extens · NO · +$21.00 (converged, 1d)

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026? · NO · +$20.50 (converged, 1d)

qid	title	side	entry→exit	days	exit	P&L
`2658039`	GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?	NO	0.40→0.84	1	converged	+$45.00
`2760614`	GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?	NO	0.54→0.89	1	converged	+$35.00
`2364499`	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extens	NO	0.58→0.85	1	converged	+$26.50
`2132637`	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	YES	0.24→0.00	70	resolved	$-24.50
`2364498`	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extens	NO	0.67→0.88	1	converged	+$21.00
`2658038`	GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?	NO	0.54→0.74	1	converged	+$20.50

qid

title

side

entry→exit

days

exit

P&L

2658039

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

0.40→0.84

converged

+$45.00

2760614

GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?

0.54→0.89

converged

+$35.00

2364499

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extens

0.58→0.85

converged

+$26.50

2132637

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

YES

0.24→0.00

resolved

$-24.50

2364498

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extens

0.67→0.88

converged

+$21.00

2658038

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

0.54→0.74

converged

+$20.50

qid	title	Agent	Market	Δ pp	Resolves	Resolved
`3145191`	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 4, 2026?	82%	66%	+16.5pp	2026-08-04
`3253007`	Will Iran target a Arab country on August 4, 2026?	4%	13%	-8.6pp	2026-08-04
`3275538`	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?	29%	24%	+4.5pp	2026-08-30
`3253015`	Will Iran target a Arab country on August 11, 2026?	17%	13%	+4.0pp	2026-08-11
`3253035`	Will Iran target a Arab country on August 31, 2026?	14%	10%	+4.0pp	2026-08-31
`2487205`	Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	33%	29%	+4.0pp	2026-09-30
`3096166`	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 in August?	12%	16%	-3.6pp	2026-09-01
`3145195`	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 8, 2026?	76%	80%	-3.0pp	2026-08-08
`2925075`	Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?	44%	48%	-3.0pp	2026-08-12
`3223006`	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $7.00 and $7.50 on Augus	4%	8%	-3.0pp	2026-08-31
`3102462`	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?	12%	16%	-3.0pp	2026-09-01
`3253028`	Will Iran target a Arab country on August 24, 2026?	10%	8%	+3.0pp	2026-08-24
`3096413`	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	29%	26%	+3.0pp	2026-09-01
`3307942`	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?	78%	82%	-3.0pp	2026-09-01
`3257392`	Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in August?	31%	28%	+3.0pp	2026-09-01
`2926628`	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August	85%	88%	-2.9pp	2026-08-31
`2925074`	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?	33%	30%	+2.5pp	2026-08-12
`3096384`	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 in August?	25%	22%	+2.5pp	2026-09-01
`3257355`	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?	43%	46%	-2.5pp	2026-09-01
`3206142`	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August	74%	76%	-2.0pp	2026-08-14
`3102464`	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?	6%	4%	+2.0pp	2026-09-01
`2252244`	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the Sept	50%	48%	+2.0pp	2026-09-16
`3096387`	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 in August?	74%	72%	+2.0pp	2026-09-01
`2952488`	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?	86%	88%	-2.0pp	2026-08-15
`3253023`	Will Iran target a Arab country on August 19, 2026?	10%	8%	+2.0pp	2026-08-19
`3253010`	Will Iran target a Arab country on August 7, 2026?	13%	14%	-1.5pp	2026-08-07
`3096415`	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?	60%	58%	+1.5pp	2026-09-01
`3145196`	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 9, 2026?	85%	84%	+1.5pp	2026-08-09
`3257344`	Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?	13%	12%	+1.5pp	2026-09-01
`3223003`	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on Augus	28%	26%	+1.5pp	2026-08-31
`3096180`	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in August?	4%	6%	-1.5pp	2026-09-01
`3096390`	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in August?	60%	58%	+1.5pp	2026-09-01
`3257401`	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August?	22%	23%	-1.5pp	2026-09-01
`3128888`	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	92%	90%	+1.5pp	2026-10-31
`3096393`	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in August?	11%	12%	-1.5pp	2026-09-01
`2911832`	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	55%	53%	+1.5pp	2026-08-31
`3253027`	Will Iran target a Arab country on August 23, 2026?	12%	10%	+1.5pp	2026-08-23
`3257443`	Will Solana reach $90 in August?	12%	11%	+1.5pp	2026-09-01
`3096411`	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?	4%	3%	+1.4pp	2026-09-01
`3091787`	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?	4%	3%	+1.1pp	2026-08-07
`2757753`	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?	4%	4%	+1.0pp	2026-09-30
`3253012`	Will Iran target a Arab country on August 8, 2026?	17%	16%	+1.0pp	2026-08-08
`3096178`	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in August?	16%	15%	+1.0pp	2026-09-01
`3096385`	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 in August?	35%	36%	-1.0pp	2026-09-01
`2925076`	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?	16%	16%	-1.0pp	2026-08-12
`3128786`	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?	94%	92%	+1.0pp	2026-08-09
`3257391`	Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in August?	18%	16%	+1.0pp	2026-09-01
`3253018`	Will Iran target a Arab country on August 14, 2026?	10%	8%	+1.0pp	2026-08-14
`3253026`	Will Iran target a Arab country on August 22, 2026?	12%	12%	+1.0pp	2026-08-22
`3223007`	Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.50 on August 31, 202	12%	13%	-1.0pp	2026-08-31
`2252245`	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the Sep	48%	48%	-1.0pp	2026-09-16
`3257390`	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in August?	8%	8%	+1.0pp	2026-09-01
`3145209`	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 22, 2026	84%	84%	-1.0pp	2026-08-22
`3253029`	Will Iran target a Arab country on August 25, 2026?	13%	14%	-1.0pp	2026-08-25
`3257448`	Will Solana dip to $60 in August?	12%	12%	-1.0pp	2026-09-01
`2487206`	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?	74%	75%	-1.0pp	2026-09-30
`3310013`	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?	40%	40%	+1.0pp	2026-09-01
`3128887`	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	82%	82%	-1.0pp	2026-09-30
`3257346`	Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?	26%	26%	+1.0pp	2026-09-01
`3257358`	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?	14%	14%	+1.0pp	2026-09-01
`3223002`	Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $5.50 on August 31, 20	24%	23%	+0.8pp	2026-08-31
`3128585`	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in August?	2%	2%	+0.7pp	2026-09-01
`3128889`	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	39%	38%	+0.6pp	2026-08-07
`2925073`	Will annual inflation be 3.2% in July?	5%	5%	+0.6pp	2026-08-12
`2006983`	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	10%	10%	+0.5pp	2026-12-31
`3145192`	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 5, 2026?	89%	88%	+0.5pp	2026-08-05
`3145194`	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 7, 2026?	78%	78%	+0.5pp	2026-08-07
`2853652`	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?	56%	56%	-0.5pp	2026-08-31
`3096382`	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in August?	8%	8%	-0.5pp	2026-09-01
`3253016`	Will Iran target a Arab country on August 12, 2026?	14%	14%	+0.5pp	2026-08-12
`3253024`	Will Iran target a Arab country on August 20, 2026?	13%	12%	+0.5pp	2026-08-20
`3096179`	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in August?	5%	4%	+0.5pp	2026-09-01
`3145211`	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 24, 2026	83%	82%	+0.5pp	2026-08-24
`3253020`	Will Iran target a Arab country on August 16, 2026?	14%	14%	-0.5pp	2026-08-16
`2853462`	Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?	14%	13%	+0.5pp	2026-08-21
`3253030`	Will Iran target a Arab country on August 26, 2026?	13%	12%	+0.5pp	2026-08-26
`3253034`	Will Iran target a Arab country on August 30, 2026?	12%	12%	+0.5pp	2026-08-30
`3257403`	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in August?	11%	12%	-0.5pp	2026-09-01
`3257405`	Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in August?	6%	6%	-0.5pp	2026-09-01
`3102466`	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?	2%	2%	+0.5pp	2026-09-01
`3096391`	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in August?	40%	39%	+0.5pp	2026-09-01
`3145210`	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026	85%	84%	+0.5pp	2026-08-23
`3145214`	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 27, 2026	86%	85%	+0.5pp	2026-08-27
`3253019`	Will Iran target a Arab country on August 15, 2026?	14%	13%	+0.5pp	2026-08-15
`2850825`	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?	23%	24%	-0.5pp	2026-08-31
`3253033`	Will Iran target a Arab country on August 29, 2026?	15%	14%	+0.5pp	2026-08-29
`3275539`	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?	73%	72%	+0.5pp	2026-09-30
`2874988`	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August	2%	2%	+0.5pp	2026-08-07
`3096416`	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August?	5%	6%	-0.5pp	2026-09-01
`3257389`	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in August?	4%	4%	+0.5pp	2026-09-01
`3096410`	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August?	2%	2%	+0.4pp	2026-09-01
`3128886`	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	94%	94%	-0.3pp	2026-12-31
`3257342`	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?	6%	5%	+0.3pp	2026-09-01
`2925078`	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in July?	0%	1%	-0.2pp	2026-08-12
`3257435`	Will Solana reach $130 in August?	1%	1%	+0.2pp	2026-09-01
`3240668`	Will at least 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any d	7%	7%	-0.2pp	2026-08-31
`2252246`	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the Se	2%	1%	+0.2pp	2026-09-16
`3257449`	Will Solana dip to $50 in August?	2%	2%	-0.2pp	2026-09-01
`3257386`	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?	2%	2%	+0.1pp	2026-09-01
`3257439`	Will Solana reach $110 in August?	2%	2%	-0.1pp	2026-09-01
`3257340`	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?	3%	3%	+0.1pp	2026-09-01
`2925077`	Will annual inflation be 3.6% in July?	2%	2%	+0.1pp	2026-08-12
`2853384`	Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?	1%	1%	-0.1pp	2026-08-14
`3257433`	Will Solana reach $140 in August?	1%	1%	+0.1pp	2026-09-01
`3257364`	Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August?	3%	3%	+0.1pp	2026-09-01
`3257382`	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?	1%	1%	-0.1pp	2026-09-01
`2925080`	Will annual inflation be 3.9% in July?	1%	1%	-0.1pp	2026-08-12
`3257437`	Will Solana reach $120 in August?	2%	2%	+0.1pp	2026-09-01
`3257441`	Will Solana reach $100 in August?	3%	3%	+0.1pp	2026-09-01
`3096167`	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in August?	14%	14%	-0.1pp	2026-09-01
`2252243`	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the Sep	1%	2%	-0.1pp	2026-09-16
`3096395`	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $46 in August?	3%	3%	+0.1pp	2026-09-01
`3096407`	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August?	0%	0%	+0.1pp	2026-09-01
`3096173`	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $216 in August?	94%	94%	+0.1pp	2026-09-01
`3257395`	Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in August?	87%	87%	+0.1pp	2026-09-01
`3102465`	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?	100%	100%	-0.1pp	2026-09-01
`2925072`	Will annual inflation be 3.1% or less in July?	2%	2%	-0.1pp	2026-08-12
`3096181`	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $152 in August?	2%	2%	-0.1pp	2026-09-01
`3240669`	Will at least 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any	4%	4%	+0.1pp	2026-08-31
`2925081`	Will annual inflation be 4.0% in July?	0%	0%	+0.1pp	2026-08-12
`3257336`	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?	1%	1%	+0.1pp	2026-09-01
`3257338`	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?	2%	2%	+0.1pp	2026-09-01
`3257370`	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August?	1%	1%	+0.1pp	2026-09-01
`3257388`	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in August?	2%	2%	-0.1pp	2026-09-01
`3096420`	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in August?	0%	0%	+0.1pp	2026-09-01
`3257362`	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?	5%	5%	+0.1pp	2026-09-01
`3253008`	Will Iran target a Arab country on August 5, 2026?	20%	20%	+0.0pp	2026-08-05
`3253009`	Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026?	12%	12%	+0.0pp	2026-08-06
`3145193`	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 6, 2026?	72%	72%	+0.0pp	2026-08-06
`3091050`	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?	28%	28%	+0.0pp	2026-08-15
`2937526`	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?	76%	76%	+0.0pp	2026-08-14
`3240664`	Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any d	60%	60%	+0.0pp	2026-08-31
`3240665`	Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any d	42%	42%	+0.0pp	2026-08-31
`3240666`	Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any d	26%	26%	+0.0pp	2026-08-31
`3240667`	Will at least 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any d	24%	24%	+0.0pp	2026-08-31
`3096169`	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in August?	36%	36%	+0.0pp	2026-09-01
`3096170`	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in August?	48%	48%	+0.0pp	2026-09-01
`3096172`	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in August?	74%	74%	+0.0pp	2026-09-01
`3096177`	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in August?	19%	19%	+0.0pp	2026-09-01
`3206143`	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August	85%	85%	+0.0pp	2026-08-21
`3096176`	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in August?	36%	36%	+0.0pp	2026-09-01
`3257350`	Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?	82%	82%	+0.0pp	2026-09-01
`3257348`	Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?	50%	50%	+0.0pp	2026-09-01
`3257393`	Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in August?	56%	56%	+0.0pp	2026-09-01
`3257397`	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in August?	78%	78%	+0.0pp	2026-09-01
`3257399`	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in August?	44%	44%	+0.0pp	2026-09-01
`3257445`	Will Solana reach $80 in August?	48%	48%	+0.0pp	2026-09-01
`3257447`	Will Solana dip to $70 in August?	70%	70%	+0.0pp	2026-09-01
`3340541`	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in August?	60%	60%	+0.0pp	2026-09-01
`3102467`	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?	24%	24%	+0.0pp	2026-09-01
`2355076`	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?	2%	—	—	2026-07-31
`2925083`	Will annual inflation be 4.2% or more in July?	0%	0%	+0.0pp	2026-08-12
`2853307`	Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?	1%	1%	+0.0pp	2026-08-07
`2910438`	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	72%	72%	+0.0pp	2026-08-31
`3145199`	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 12, 2026	81%	81%	+0.0pp	2026-08-12
`3145203`	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 16, 2026	86%	86%	+0.0pp	2026-08-16
`2910437`	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?	62%	62%	+0.0pp	2026-08-15
`3253013`	Will Iran target a Arab country on August 9, 2026?	18%	18%	+0.0pp	2026-08-09
`3275537`	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026?	2%	2%	+0.0pp	2026-08-15
`3240692`	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 15?	16%	16%	+0.0pp	2026-08-15
`3257332`	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?	0%	0%	+0.0pp	2026-09-01
`3257384`	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in August?	1%	1%	+0.0pp	2026-09-01
`3257413`	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in August?	0%	0%	+0.0pp	2026-09-01
`3096383`	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in August?	12%	12%	+0.0pp	2026-09-01
`3145197`	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 10, 2026	84%	84%	+0.0pp	2026-08-10
`3145200`	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 13, 2026	83%	83%	+0.0pp	2026-08-13
`3145201`	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 14, 2026	86%	86%	+0.0pp	2026-08-14
`3145204`	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 17, 2026	86%	86%	+0.0pp	2026-08-17
`3145205`	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 18, 2026	87%	87%	+0.0pp	2026-08-18
`3145207`	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 20, 2026	86%	86%	+0.0pp	2026-08-20
`3145213`	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 26, 2026	88%	88%	+0.0pp	2026-08-26
`3145215`	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 28, 2026	88%	88%	+0.0pp	2026-08-28
`2925079`	Will annual inflation be 3.8% in July?	0%	0%	+0.0pp	2026-08-12
`3253014`	Will Iran target a Arab country on August 10, 2026?	15%	15%	+0.0pp	2026-08-10
`3253017`	Will Iran target a Arab country on August 13, 2026?	14%	14%	+0.0pp	2026-08-13
`3253022`	Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026?	14%	14%	+0.0pp	2026-08-18
`3253032`	Will Iran target a Arab country on August 28, 2026?	14%	14%	+0.0pp	2026-08-28
`3257451`	Will Solana dip to $30 in August?	0%	0%	+0.0pp	2026-09-01
`3257452`	Will Solana dip to $20 in August?	0%	0%	+0.0pp	2026-09-01
`3223004`	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on Augus	21%	21%	+0.0pp	2026-08-31
`3257368`	Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in August?	1%	1%	+0.0pp	2026-09-01
`2252242`	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the Se	1%	1%	+0.0pp	2026-09-16
`3257334`	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	1%	1%	+0.0pp	2026-09-01
`2006983`	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	10%	10%	+0.0pp	2026-12-31
`3257416`	Will Ethereum dip to $900 in August?	0%	0%	+0.0pp	2026-09-01
`3257409`	Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in August?	2%	2%	+0.0pp	2026-09-01
`3257407`	Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in August?	3%	3%	+0.0pp	2026-09-01
`3257411`	Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in August?	1%	1%	+0.0pp	2026-09-01
`3096386`	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in August?	46%	46%	+0.0pp	2026-09-01
`3257366`	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in August?	2%	2%	+0.0pp	2026-09-01
`3096394`	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $48 in August?	6%	6%	+0.0pp	2026-09-01
`3145198`	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 11, 2026	82%	82%	+0.0pp	2026-08-11
`3145202`	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 15, 2026	84%	84%	+0.0pp	2026-08-15
`3203595`	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31?	1%	1%	+0.0pp	2026-08-31
`3096392`	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in August?	18%	18%	+0.0pp	2026-09-01
`3145206`	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 19, 2026	90%	90%	+0.0pp	2026-08-19
`3096417`	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in August?	1%	1%	+0.0pp	2026-09-01
`3145208`	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 21, 2026	84%	84%	+0.0pp	2026-08-21
`3096418`	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in August?	0%	0%	+0.0pp	2026-09-01
`3145212`	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 25, 2026	90%	90%	+0.0pp	2026-08-25
`2937527`	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?	82%	82%	+0.0pp	2026-08-31
`3096419`	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in August?	0%	0%	+0.0pp	2026-09-01
`3145216`	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 29, 2026	87%	87%	+0.0pp	2026-08-29
`3145217`	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 30, 2026	73%	73%	+0.0pp	2026-08-30
`3145218`	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 31, 2026	86%	86%	+0.0pp	2026-08-31
`2925082`	Will annual inflation be 4.1% in July?	0%	0%	+0.0pp	2026-08-12
`3096408`	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August?	1%	1%	+0.0pp	2026-09-01
`2952493`	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	76%	76%	+0.0pp	2026-08-31
`676829`	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	91%	91%	+0.0pp	2026-12-31
`3096409`	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August?	1%	1%	+0.0pp	2026-09-01
`3253021`	Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026?	12%	12%	+0.0pp	2026-08-17
`3253025`	Will Iran target a Arab country on August 21, 2026?	10%	10%	+0.0pp	2026-08-21
`3253031`	Will Iran target a Arab country on August 27, 2026?	14%	14%	+0.0pp	2026-08-27
`2757753`	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?	4%	4%	+0.0pp	2026-09-30
`3096412`	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?	8%	8%	+0.0pp	2026-09-01
`3275540`	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?	84%	84%	+0.0pp	2026-10-31
`3257429`	Will Solana reach $160 in August?	0%	0%	+0.0pp	2026-09-01
`3257431`	Will Solana reach $150 in August?	0%	0%	+0.0pp	2026-09-01
`677366`	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	93%	93%	+0.0pp	2026-12-31
`2159718`	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	80%	80%	+0.0pp	2026-09-30
`3257450`	Will Solana dip to $40 in August?	1%	1%	+0.0pp	2026-09-01
`3247642`	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	70%	70%	+0.0pp	2026-09-30
`3257453`	Will Solana dip to $10 in August?	0%	0%	+0.0pp	2026-09-01
`3257356`	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?	22%	22%	+0.0pp	2026-09-01
`3223005`	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on Augus	18%	18%	+0.0pp	2026-08-31
`3257360`	Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August?	8%	8%	+0.0pp	2026-09-01
`3247965`	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?	100%	—	—	2026-08-04	✓
`3096388`	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $60 in August?	100%	—	—	2026-09-01	✓

qid

title

Agent

Market

Δ pp

Resolves

Resolved

3145191

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 4, 2026?

82%

66%

+16.5pp

2026-08-04

3253007

Will Iran target a Arab country on August 4, 2026?

13%

-8.6pp

2026-08-04

3275538

Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?

29%

24%

+4.5pp

2026-08-30

3253015

Will Iran target a Arab country on August 11, 2026?

17%

13%

+4.0pp

2026-08-11

3253035

Will Iran target a Arab country on August 31, 2026?

14%

10%

+4.0pp

2026-08-31

2487205

Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?

33%

29%

+4.0pp

2026-09-30

3096166

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 in August?

12%

16%

-3.6pp

2026-09-01

3145195

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 8, 2026?

76%

80%

-3.0pp

2026-08-08

2925075

Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?

44%

48%

-3.0pp

2026-08-12

3223006

Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $7.00 and $7.50 on Augus

-3.0pp

2026-08-31

3102462

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?

12%

16%

-3.0pp

2026-09-01

3253028

Will Iran target a Arab country on August 24, 2026?

10%

+3.0pp

2026-08-24

3096413

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?

29%

26%

+3.0pp

2026-09-01

3307942

Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?

78%

82%

-3.0pp

2026-09-01

3257392

Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in August?

31%

28%

+3.0pp

2026-09-01

2926628

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August

85%

88%

-2.9pp

2026-08-31

2925074

Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?

33%

30%

+2.5pp

2026-08-12

3096384

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 in August?

25%

22%

+2.5pp

2026-09-01

3257355

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?

43%

46%

-2.5pp

2026-09-01

3206142

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August

74%

76%

-2.0pp

2026-08-14

3102464

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?

+2.0pp

2026-09-01

2252244

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the Sept

50%

48%

+2.0pp

2026-09-16

3096387

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 in August?

74%

72%

+2.0pp

2026-09-01

2952488

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?

86%

88%

-2.0pp

2026-08-15

3253023

Will Iran target a Arab country on August 19, 2026?

10%

+2.0pp

2026-08-19

3253010

Will Iran target a Arab country on August 7, 2026?

13%

14%

-1.5pp

2026-08-07

3096415

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?

60%

58%

+1.5pp

2026-09-01

3145196

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 9, 2026?

85%

84%

+1.5pp

2026-08-09

3257344

Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?

13%

12%

+1.5pp

2026-09-01

3223003

Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on Augus

28%

26%

+1.5pp

2026-08-31

3096180

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in August?

-1.5pp

2026-09-01

3096390

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in August?

60%

58%

+1.5pp

2026-09-01

3257401

Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August?

22%

23%

-1.5pp

2026-09-01

3128888

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?

92%

90%

+1.5pp

2026-10-31

3096393

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in August?

11%

12%

-1.5pp

2026-09-01

2911832

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?

55%

53%

+1.5pp

2026-08-31

3253027

Will Iran target a Arab country on August 23, 2026?

12%

10%

+1.5pp

2026-08-23

3257443

Will Solana reach $90 in August?

12%

11%

+1.5pp

2026-09-01

3096411

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?

+1.4pp

2026-09-01

3091787

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?

+1.1pp

2026-08-07

2757753

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?

+1.0pp

2026-09-30

3253012

Will Iran target a Arab country on August 8, 2026?

17%

16%

+1.0pp

2026-08-08

3096178

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in August?

16%

15%

+1.0pp

2026-09-01

3096385

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 in August?

35%

36%

-1.0pp

2026-09-01

2925076

Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?

16%

-1.0pp

2026-08-12

3128786

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?

94%

92%

+1.0pp

2026-08-09

3257391

Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in August?

18%

16%

+1.0pp

2026-09-01

3253018

Will Iran target a Arab country on August 14, 2026?

10%

+1.0pp

2026-08-14

3253026

Will Iran target a Arab country on August 22, 2026?

12%

+1.0pp

2026-08-22

3223007

Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.50 on August 31, 202

12%

13%

-1.0pp

2026-08-31

2252245

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the Sep

48%

-1.0pp

2026-09-16

3257390

Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in August?

+1.0pp

2026-09-01

3145209

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 22, 2026

84%

-1.0pp

2026-08-22

3253029

Will Iran target a Arab country on August 25, 2026?

13%

14%

-1.0pp

2026-08-25

3257448

Will Solana dip to $60 in August?

12%

-1.0pp

2026-09-01

2487206

Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?

74%

75%

-1.0pp

2026-09-30

3310013

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?

40%

+1.0pp

2026-09-01

3128887

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?

82%

-1.0pp

2026-09-30

3257346

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?

26%

+1.0pp

2026-09-01

3257358

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?

14%

+1.0pp

2026-09-01

3223002

Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $5.50 on August 31, 20

24%

23%

+0.8pp

2026-08-31

3128585

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in August?

+0.7pp

2026-09-01

3128889

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?

39%

38%

+0.6pp

2026-08-07

2925073

Will annual inflation be 3.2% in July?

+0.6pp

2026-08-12

2006983

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

10%

+0.5pp

2026-12-31

3145192

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 5, 2026?

89%

88%

+0.5pp

2026-08-05

3145194

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 7, 2026?

78%

+0.5pp

2026-08-07

2853652

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?

56%

-0.5pp

2026-08-31

3096382

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in August?

-0.5pp

2026-09-01

3253016

Will Iran target a Arab country on August 12, 2026?

14%

+0.5pp

2026-08-12

3253024

Will Iran target a Arab country on August 20, 2026?

13%

12%

+0.5pp

2026-08-20

3096179

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in August?

+0.5pp

2026-09-01

3145211

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 24, 2026

83%

82%

+0.5pp

2026-08-24

3253020

Will Iran target a Arab country on August 16, 2026?

14%

-0.5pp

2026-08-16

2853462

Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?

14%

13%

+0.5pp

2026-08-21

3253030

Will Iran target a Arab country on August 26, 2026?

13%

12%

+0.5pp

2026-08-26

3253034

Will Iran target a Arab country on August 30, 2026?

12%

+0.5pp

2026-08-30

3257403

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in August?

11%

12%

-0.5pp

2026-09-01

3257405

Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in August?

-0.5pp

2026-09-01

3102466

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?

+0.5pp

2026-09-01

3096391

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in August?

40%

39%

+0.5pp

2026-09-01

3145210

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026

85%

84%

+0.5pp

2026-08-23

3145214

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 27, 2026

86%

85%

+0.5pp

2026-08-27

3253019

Will Iran target a Arab country on August 15, 2026?

14%

13%

+0.5pp

2026-08-15

2850825

Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?

23%

24%

-0.5pp

2026-08-31

3253033

Will Iran target a Arab country on August 29, 2026?

15%

14%

+0.5pp

2026-08-29

3275539

Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?

73%

72%

+0.5pp

2026-09-30

2874988

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August

+0.5pp

2026-08-07

3096416

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August?

-0.5pp

2026-09-01

3257389

Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in August?

+0.5pp

2026-09-01

3096410

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August?

+0.4pp

2026-09-01

3128886

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?

94%

-0.3pp

2026-12-31

3257342

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?

+0.3pp

2026-09-01

2925078

Will annual inflation be 3.7% in July?

-0.2pp

2026-08-12

3257435

Will Solana reach $130 in August?

+0.2pp

2026-09-01

3240668

Will at least 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any d

-0.2pp

2026-08-31

2252246

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the Se

+0.2pp

2026-09-16

3257449

Will Solana dip to $50 in August?

-0.2pp

2026-09-01

3257386

Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?

+0.1pp

2026-09-01

3257439

Will Solana reach $110 in August?

-0.1pp

2026-09-01

3257340

Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?

+0.1pp

2026-09-01

2925077

Will annual inflation be 3.6% in July?

+0.1pp

2026-08-12

2853384

Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?

-0.1pp

2026-08-14

3257433

Will Solana reach $140 in August?

+0.1pp

2026-09-01

3257364

Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August?

+0.1pp

2026-09-01

3257382

Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?

-0.1pp

2026-09-01

2925080

Will annual inflation be 3.9% in July?

-0.1pp

2026-08-12

3257437

Will Solana reach $120 in August?

+0.1pp

2026-09-01

3257441

Will Solana reach $100 in August?

+0.1pp

2026-09-01

3096167

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in August?

14%

-0.1pp

2026-09-01

2252243

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the Sep

-0.1pp

2026-09-16

3096395

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $46 in August?

+0.1pp

2026-09-01

3096407

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August?

+0.1pp

2026-09-01

3096173

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $216 in August?

94%

+0.1pp

2026-09-01

3257395

Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in August?

87%

+0.1pp

2026-09-01

3102465

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?

100%

-0.1pp

2026-09-01

2925072

Will annual inflation be 3.1% or less in July?

-0.1pp

2026-08-12

3096181

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $152 in August?

-0.1pp

2026-09-01

3240669

Will at least 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any

+0.1pp

2026-08-31

2925081

Will annual inflation be 4.0% in July?

+0.1pp

2026-08-12

3257336

Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?

+0.1pp

2026-09-01

3257338

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?

+0.1pp

2026-09-01

3257370

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August?

+0.1pp

2026-09-01

3257388

Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in August?

-0.1pp

2026-09-01

3096420

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in August?

+0.1pp

2026-09-01

3257362

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?

+0.1pp

2026-09-01

3253008

Will Iran target a Arab country on August 5, 2026?

20%

+0.0pp

2026-08-05

3253009

Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026?

12%

+0.0pp

2026-08-06

3145193

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 6, 2026?

72%

+0.0pp

2026-08-06

3091050

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?

28%

+0.0pp

2026-08-15

2937526

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?

76%

+0.0pp

2026-08-14

3240664

Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any d

60%

+0.0pp

2026-08-31

3240665

Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any d

42%

+0.0pp

2026-08-31

3240666

Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any d

26%

+0.0pp

2026-08-31

3240667

Will at least 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any d

24%

+0.0pp

2026-08-31

3096169

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in August?

36%

+0.0pp

2026-09-01

3096170

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in August?

48%

+0.0pp

2026-09-01

3096172

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in August?

74%

+0.0pp

2026-09-01

3096177

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in August?

19%

+0.0pp

2026-09-01

3206143

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August

85%

+0.0pp

2026-08-21

3096176

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in August?

36%

+0.0pp

2026-09-01

3257350

Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?

82%

+0.0pp

2026-09-01

3257348

Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?

50%

+0.0pp

2026-09-01

3257393

Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in August?

56%

+0.0pp

2026-09-01

3257397

Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in August?

78%

+0.0pp

2026-09-01

3257399

Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in August?

44%

+0.0pp

2026-09-01

3257445

Will Solana reach $80 in August?

48%

+0.0pp

2026-09-01

3257447

Will Solana dip to $70 in August?

70%

+0.0pp

2026-09-01

3340541

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in August?

60%

+0.0pp

2026-09-01

3102467

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?

24%

+0.0pp

2026-09-01

2355076

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?

—

2026-07-31

2925083

Will annual inflation be 4.2% or more in July?

+0.0pp

2026-08-12

2853307

Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?

+0.0pp

2026-08-07

2910438

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?

72%

+0.0pp

2026-08-31

3145199

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 12, 2026

81%

+0.0pp

2026-08-12

3145203

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 16, 2026

86%

+0.0pp

2026-08-16

2910437

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?

62%

+0.0pp

2026-08-15

3253013

Will Iran target a Arab country on August 9, 2026?

18%

+0.0pp

2026-08-09

3275537

Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026?

+0.0pp

2026-08-15

3240692

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 15?

16%

+0.0pp

2026-08-15

3257332

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?

+0.0pp

2026-09-01

3257384

Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in August?

+0.0pp

2026-09-01

3257413

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in August?

+0.0pp

2026-09-01

3096383

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in August?

12%

+0.0pp

2026-09-01

3145197

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 10, 2026

84%

+0.0pp

2026-08-10

3145200

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 13, 2026

83%

+0.0pp

2026-08-13

3145201

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 14, 2026

86%

+0.0pp

2026-08-14

3145204

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 17, 2026

86%

+0.0pp

2026-08-17

3145205

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 18, 2026

87%

+0.0pp

2026-08-18

3145207

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 20, 2026

86%

+0.0pp

2026-08-20

3145213

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 26, 2026

88%

+0.0pp

2026-08-26

3145215

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 28, 2026

88%

+0.0pp

2026-08-28

2925079

Will annual inflation be 3.8% in July?

+0.0pp

2026-08-12

3253014

Will Iran target a Arab country on August 10, 2026?

15%

+0.0pp

2026-08-10

3253017

Will Iran target a Arab country on August 13, 2026?

14%

+0.0pp

2026-08-13

3253022

Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026?

14%

+0.0pp

2026-08-18

3253032

Will Iran target a Arab country on August 28, 2026?

14%

+0.0pp

2026-08-28

3257451

Will Solana dip to $30 in August?

+0.0pp

2026-09-01

3257452

Will Solana dip to $20 in August?

+0.0pp

2026-09-01

3223004

Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on Augus

21%

+0.0pp

2026-08-31

3257368

Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in August?

+0.0pp

2026-09-01

2252242

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the Se

+0.0pp

2026-09-16

3257334

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?

+0.0pp

2026-09-01

2006983

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

10%

+0.0pp

2026-12-31

3257416

Will Ethereum dip to $900 in August?

+0.0pp

2026-09-01

3257409

Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in August?

+0.0pp

2026-09-01

3257407

Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in August?

+0.0pp

2026-09-01

3257411

Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in August?

+0.0pp

2026-09-01

3096386

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in August?

46%

+0.0pp

2026-09-01

3257366

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in August?

+0.0pp

2026-09-01

3096394

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $48 in August?

+0.0pp

2026-09-01

3145198

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 11, 2026

82%

+0.0pp

2026-08-11

3145202

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 15, 2026

84%

+0.0pp

2026-08-15

3203595

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31?

+0.0pp

2026-08-31

3096392

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in August?

18%

+0.0pp

2026-09-01

3145206

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 19, 2026

90%

+0.0pp

2026-08-19

3096417

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in August?

+0.0pp

2026-09-01

3145208

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 21, 2026

84%

+0.0pp

2026-08-21

3096418

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in August?

+0.0pp

2026-09-01

3145212

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 25, 2026

90%

+0.0pp

2026-08-25

2937527

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?

82%

+0.0pp

2026-08-31

3096419

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in August?

+0.0pp

2026-09-01

3145216

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 29, 2026

87%

+0.0pp

2026-08-29

3145217

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 30, 2026

73%

+0.0pp

2026-08-30

3145218

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 31, 2026

86%

+0.0pp

2026-08-31

2925082

Will annual inflation be 4.1% in July?

+0.0pp

2026-08-12

3096408

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August?

+0.0pp

2026-09-01

2952493

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?

76%

+0.0pp

2026-08-31

676829

Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?

91%

+0.0pp

2026-12-31

3096409

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August?

+0.0pp

2026-09-01

3253021

Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026?

12%

+0.0pp

2026-08-17

3253025

Will Iran target a Arab country on August 21, 2026?

10%

+0.0pp

2026-08-21

3253031

Will Iran target a Arab country on August 27, 2026?

14%

+0.0pp

2026-08-27

2757753

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?

+0.0pp

2026-09-30

3096412

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?

+0.0pp

2026-09-01

3275540

Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?

84%

+0.0pp

2026-10-31

3257429

Will Solana reach $160 in August?

+0.0pp

2026-09-01

3257431

Will Solana reach $150 in August?

+0.0pp

2026-09-01

677366

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

93%

+0.0pp

2026-12-31

2159718

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?

80%

+0.0pp

2026-09-30

3257450

Will Solana dip to $40 in August?

+0.0pp

2026-09-01

3247642

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?

70%

+0.0pp

2026-09-30

3257453

Will Solana dip to $10 in August?

+0.0pp

2026-09-01

3257356

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?

22%

+0.0pp

2026-09-01

3223005

Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on Augus

18%

+0.0pp

2026-08-31

3257360

Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August?

+0.0pp

2026-09-01

3247965

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?

100%

—

2026-08-04

✓

3096388

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $60 in August?

100%

—

2026-09-01

✓