Record
For each question the bot forecast while it was open, its number and the market’s price on the last day the market was open are scored against the outcome (Brier score: 0 is perfect, 1 is maximally wrong). Both numbers were known at the same moment, so neither side sees the answer first. The running lines below weight each event once, so a ladder of ten price rungs does not count as ten wins.
Now 0.062 vs 0.034 over 98 events; median edge -0.0011.
Bubbles on the diagonal mean “when it said 70%, it happened about 70% of the time”. Size is the number of forecasts; whiskers are 95% intervals.
| Settled | Question | Bot | Market | Outcome | Bot score | Market score | Closer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1? | 97% | 100% | YES | 0.001 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-11-03 | Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.00 on October 31, 2026? | 98% | 97% | YES | 0.001 | 0.001 | tie |
| 2026-11-03 | Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on October 31, 2026? | 2% | 4% | NO | 0.001 | 0.001 | tie |
| 2026-11-02 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? | 10% | 0% | NO | 0.010 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-11-02 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? | 3% | 1% | NO | 0.001 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-11-02 | Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on October 31, 2026? | 3% | 2% | NO | 0.001 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-11-02 | Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.25 and $2.50 on October 31, 2026? | 2% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-11-02 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-11-02 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | 4% | 0% | NO | 0.001 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-11-02 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | 14% | 0% | NO | 0.020 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-11-02 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | 56% | 0% | NO | 0.314 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-11-01 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | 1% | 1% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-11-01 | Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.25 on October 31, 2026? | 5% | 0% | NO | 0.002 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-11-01 | Will the Ornn H100 Index be less than $2.00 on October 31, 2026? | 17% | 0% | NO | 0.029 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-11-01 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | 88% | 98% | YES | 0.014 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-10-31 | Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%? | 4% | 16% | YES | 0.922 | 0.697 | market |
| 2026-10-31 | Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%? | 58% | 58% | NO | 0.336 | 0.342 | bot |
| 2026-10-31 | Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%? | 27% | 24% | NO | 0.073 | 0.060 | market |
| 2026-10-31 | Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%? | 12% | 0% | NO | 0.014 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-10-30 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? | 94% | 78% | YES | 0.004 | 0.046 | bot |
| 2026-10-30 | Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? | 9% | 0% | NO | 0.008 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-10-30 | Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? | 96% | 100% | YES | 0.002 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-10-29 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? | 100% | 99% | YES | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-10-29 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | 1% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-10-29 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | 14% | 4% | NO | 0.018 | 0.001 | market |
| 2026-10-29 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | 96% | 96% | YES | 0.002 | 0.002 | tie |
| 2026-10-29 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | 1% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-10-29 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | 3% | 0% | NO | 0.001 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-10-29 | Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | 50% | 41% | YES | 0.250 | 0.348 | bot |
| 2026-10-26 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? | 94% | 100% | YES | 0.004 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-10-25 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 23, 2026? | 2% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-10-25 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $75 by December 31, 2026? | 87% | 90% | YES | 0.017 | 0.009 | market |
| 2026-10-24 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | 88% | 97% | YES | 0.014 | 0.001 | market |
| 2026-10-23 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21? | 96% | 99% | YES | 0.001 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-10-19 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18? | 97% | 98% | YES | 0.001 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-10-17 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | 1% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-10-17 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026? | 42% | 0% | NO | 0.176 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-10-16 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | 95% | 99% | YES | 0.003 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-10-16 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? | 0% | 1% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-10-11 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026? | 43% | 1% | NO | 0.185 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-10-06 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.3% before 2027? | 96% | 84% | YES | 0.002 | 0.026 | bot |
| 2026-10-06 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? | 78% | 96% | YES | 0.048 | 0.001 | market |
| 2026-10-06 | Will another person win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 1% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-10-06 | Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-10-06 | Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-10-06 | Will Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 1% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-10-06 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%? | 10% | 0% | NO | 0.010 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-10-06 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? | 6% | 0% | NO | 0.003 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-10-06 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | 100% | 99% | YES | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-10-06 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%? | 4% | 0% | NO | 0.002 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-10-06 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%? | 20% | 0% | NO | 0.041 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-10-06 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-10-06 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | 47% | 0% | NO | 0.221 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-10-03 | Will CDU win 35-39 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | 36% | 2% | NO | 0.133 | 0.001 | market |
| 2026-10-03 | Will CDU win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | 99% | 97% | YES | 0.000 | 0.001 | tie |
| 2026-10-02 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? | 99% | 21% | NO | 0.980 | 0.044 | market |
| 2026-10-02 | Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September? | 52% | 34% | NO | 0.270 | 0.112 | market |
| 2026-10-02 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? | 19% | 1% | NO | 0.036 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-10-02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September? | 52% | 1% | NO | 0.270 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-10-02 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in September? | 25% | 1% | NO | 0.062 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-10-02 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-10-02 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 in September? | 76% | 0% | NO | 0.578 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-10-02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September? | 87% | 0% | NO | 0.757 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-10-02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September? | 32% | 0% | NO | 0.102 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-10-02 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? | 48% | 0% | NO | 0.230 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-10-02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? | 64% | 0% | NO | 0.410 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-10-02 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in September? | 43% | 0% | NO | 0.185 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-10-02 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-10-02 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in September? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-10-02 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in September? | 43% | 0% | NO | 0.185 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-10-02 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in September? | 30% | 0% | NO | 0.090 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-10-02 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in September? | 47% | 0% | NO | 0.221 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-10-02 | Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September? | 40% | 0% | NO | 0.160 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-10-02 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September? | 22% | 0% | NO | 0.048 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-10-02 | Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September? | 11% | 0% | NO | 0.011 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-10-02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September? | 16% | 0% | NO | 0.026 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-10-02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September? | 29% | 0% | NO | 0.084 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-10-02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September? | 42% | 0% | NO | 0.176 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-10-02 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-10-02 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | 8% | 0% | NO | 0.006 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-10-02 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September? | 12% | 0% | NO | 0.014 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-10-02 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September? | 24% | 0% | NO | 0.055 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-10-02 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | 24% | 0% | NO | 0.058 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-10-02 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September? | 24% | 0% | NO | 0.058 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-10-02 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026? | 10% | 1% | NO | 0.010 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-10-02 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-10-02 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30? | 4% | 0% | NO | 0.002 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-10-02 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | 18% | 1% | NO | 0.032 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-10-02 | Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | 34% | 100% | YES | 0.436 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-10-01 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 in September? | 55% | 56% | NO | 0.302 | 0.314 | bot |
| 2026-10-01 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in September? | 68% | 68% | YES | 0.102 | 0.102 | tie |
| 2026-10-01 | Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 101.00 in September? | 18% | 16% | NO | 0.032 | 0.026 | market |
| 2026-10-01 | Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 100.50 in September? | 32% | 20% | NO | 0.102 | 0.040 | market |
| 2026-10-01 | Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 100.00 in September? | 82% | 7% | NO | 0.672 | 0.005 | market |
| 2026-10-01 | Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 99.50 in September? | 54% | 3% | NO | 0.292 | 0.001 | market |
| 2026-10-01 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in September? | 20% | 1% | NO | 0.040 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-10-01 | Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 99.00 in September? | 74% | 10% | NO | 0.548 | 0.011 | market |
| 2026-10-01 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 in September? | 35% | 1% | NO | 0.122 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-10-01 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in September? | 20% | 0% | NO | 0.040 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-10-01 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in September? | 8% | 2% | NO | 0.006 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-10-01 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in September? | 9% | 1% | NO | 0.008 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-10-01 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $58 in September? | 18% | 7% | NO | 0.032 | 0.005 | market |
| 2026-10-01 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 in September? | 38% | 28% | NO | 0.144 | 0.081 | market |
| 2026-10-01 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in September? | 73% | 0% | NO | 0.533 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-10-01 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in September? | 30% | 0% | NO | 0.090 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-10-01 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $74 in September? | 18% | 1% | NO | 0.032 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-10-01 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $76 in September? | 12% | 0% | NO | 0.014 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-10-01 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in September? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-10-01 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in September? | 17% | 1% | NO | 0.029 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-10-01 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in September? | 32% | 9% | NO | 0.102 | 0.009 | market |
| 2026-10-01 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in September? | 32% | 0% | NO | 0.102 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-10-01 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in September? | 20% | 0% | NO | 0.040 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-10-01 | Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 97.00 in September? | 1% | 1% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-10-01 | Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 97.50 in September? | 43% | 2% | NO | 0.185 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-10-01 | Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 98.00 in September? | 36% | 8% | NO | 0.130 | 0.007 | market |
| 2026-10-01 | Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 98.50 in September? | 48% | 4% | NO | 0.230 | 0.001 | market |
| 2026-10-01 | Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 102.00 in September? | 24% | 4% | NO | 0.058 | 0.001 | market |
| 2026-10-01 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | 98% | 99% | YES | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-30 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? | 32% | 30% | YES | 0.462 | 0.483 | bot |
| 2026-09-30 | Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 101.50 in September? | 35% | 48% | YES | 0.422 | 0.274 | market |
| 2026-09-29 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? | 92% | 89% | YES | 0.006 | 0.013 | bot |
| 2026-09-29 | Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 101.00 in September? | 99% | 72% | YES | 0.000 | 0.081 | bot |
| 2026-09-29 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? | 47% | 68% | YES | 0.281 | 0.106 | market |
| 2026-09-29 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 in September? | 38% | 68% | YES | 0.384 | 0.106 | market |
| 2026-09-29 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in September? | 69% | 70% | YES | 0.096 | 0.093 | market |
| 2026-09-28 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 in September? | 96% | 82% | YES | 0.002 | 0.034 | bot |
| 2026-09-27 | Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026? | 33% | 21% | NO | 0.109 | 0.044 | market |
| 2026-09-27 | Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1515 by December 31, 2026? | 30% | 28% | YES | 0.490 | 0.511 | bot |
| 2026-09-27 | Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026? | 58% | 63% | YES | 0.176 | 0.137 | market |
| 2026-09-27 | Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026? | 71% | 68% | YES | 0.084 | 0.106 | bot |
| 2026-09-27 | Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026? | 80% | 78% | YES | 0.040 | 0.046 | bot |
| 2026-09-26 | Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $8.00 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026? | 96% | 100% | YES | 0.002 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-09-25 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? | 99% | 58% | YES | 0.000 | 0.172 | bot |
| 2026-09-24 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.1% before 2027? | 83% | 70% | YES | 0.029 | 0.090 | bot |
| 2026-09-24 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? | 43% | 100% | YES | 0.325 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-09-24 | Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 101.00 in September? | 68% | 62% | YES | 0.102 | 0.141 | bot |
| 2026-09-23 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in September? | 70% | 64% | YES | 0.090 | 0.133 | bot |
| 2026-09-23 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | 25% | 34% | YES | 0.562 | 0.429 | market |
| 2026-09-23 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | 16% | 0% | NO | 0.026 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-09-23 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? | 56% | 68% | YES | 0.194 | 0.106 | market |
| 2026-09-23 | Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026? | 82% | 93% | YES | 0.032 | 0.005 | market |
| 2026-09-23 | Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026? | 89% | 99% | YES | 0.012 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-09-23 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | 11% | 14% | YES | 0.792 | 0.731 | market |
| 2026-09-23 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | 42% | 47% | YES | 0.336 | 0.281 | market |
| 2026-09-22 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $66 in September? | 84% | 92% | YES | 0.026 | 0.006 | market |
| 2026-09-22 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? | 43% | 62% | YES | 0.325 | 0.148 | market |
| 2026-09-22 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September? | 88% | 84% | YES | 0.014 | 0.024 | bot |
| 2026-09-22 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | 52% | 52% | YES | 0.230 | 0.235 | bot |
| 2026-09-22 | Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes? | 29% | 1% | NO | 0.082 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-09-22 | Will BSW win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes? | 45% | 98% | YES | 0.306 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-09-22 | Will AfD win at least 38% of all valid second votes? | 32% | 99% | YES | 0.462 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-09-22 | Will AfD win the most seats in 3 German state elections in September 2026? | 16% | 0% | NO | 0.026 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-09-22 | Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026? | 49% | 99% | YES | 0.260 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-09-22 | Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026? | 50% | 1% | NO | 0.250 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-09-22 | Will Ethereum reach $2,750 by December 31, 2026? | 66% | 91% | YES | 0.119 | 0.008 | market |
| 2026-09-22 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? | 81% | 82% | YES | 0.036 | 0.031 | market |
| 2026-09-21 | Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September? | 62% | 74% | YES | 0.144 | 0.070 | market |
| 2026-09-21 | Will BSW win less than 3% of all valid second votes? | 13% | 14% | NO | 0.017 | 0.020 | bot |
| 2026-09-21 | Will AfD win between 35% and 38% of all valid second votes? | 49% | 50% | NO | 0.238 | 0.250 | bot |
| 2026-09-21 | Will AfD win between 32% and 35% of all valid second votes? | 15% | 14% | NO | 0.022 | 0.021 | market |
| 2026-09-21 | Will Linke win at least 23% of all valid second votes? | 14% | 22% | YES | 0.731 | 0.616 | market |
| 2026-09-21 | Will Linke win between 20% and 23% of all valid second votes? | 55% | 49% | NO | 0.302 | 0.240 | market |
| 2026-09-21 | Will Linke win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes? | 40% | 28% | NO | 0.164 | 0.076 | market |
| 2026-09-21 | Will Linke win less than 17% of all valid second votes? | 3% | 3% | NO | 0.001 | 0.001 | tie |
| 2026-09-20 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September? | 82% | 100% | YES | 0.032 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-09-19 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in September? | 63% | 48% | YES | 0.137 | 0.265 | bot |
| 2026-09-19 | Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in September? | 93% | 84% | YES | 0.005 | 0.027 | bot |
| 2026-09-19 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September? | 97% | 44% | YES | 0.001 | 0.308 | bot |
| 2026-09-19 | Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 100.50 in September? | 90% | 81% | YES | 0.010 | 0.036 | bot |
| 2026-09-19 | Will Hyperliquid reach $90 by December 31, 2026? | 75% | 79% | YES | 0.062 | 0.045 | market |
| 2026-09-18 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 in September? | 87% | 56% | YES | 0.017 | 0.194 | bot |
| 2026-09-17 | Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 100.00 in September? | 52% | 82% | YES | 0.230 | 0.032 | market |
| 2026-09-17 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | 1% | 1% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-17 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | 52% | 88% | YES | 0.226 | 0.016 | market |
| 2026-09-17 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | 13% | 12% | NO | 0.017 | 0.013 | market |
| 2026-09-17 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-17 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-16 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? | 96% | 96% | YES | 0.002 | 0.002 | tie |
| 2026-09-16 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in September? | 86% | 68% | YES | 0.020 | 0.102 | bot |
| 2026-09-16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? | 64% | 62% | YES | 0.130 | 0.141 | bot |
| 2026-09-16 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? | 82% | 77% | YES | 0.032 | 0.055 | bot |
| 2026-09-16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026? | 80% | 82% | YES | 0.040 | 0.032 | market |
| 2026-09-16 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | 11% | 0% | NO | 0.012 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-09-15 | Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in September? | 88% | 87% | YES | 0.014 | 0.017 | bot |
| 2026-09-15 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in September? | 68% | 68% | YES | 0.102 | 0.106 | bot |
| 2026-09-15 | Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 99.50 in September? | 72% | 81% | YES | 0.078 | 0.036 | market |
| 2026-09-12 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in September? | 63% | 75% | YES | 0.137 | 0.062 | market |
| 2026-09-12 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in September? | 68% | 62% | YES | 0.102 | 0.144 | bot |
| 2026-09-12 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.9% or more in August? | 2% | 1% | NO | 0.001 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-12 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in August? | 2% | 1% | NO | 0.001 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-12 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.7% in August? | 3% | 2% | NO | 0.001 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-12 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in August? | 5% | 3% | NO | 0.002 | 0.001 | market |
| 2026-09-12 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in August? | 13% | 12% | NO | 0.017 | 0.014 | market |
| 2026-09-12 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in August? | 46% | 48% | YES | 0.292 | 0.265 | market |
| 2026-09-12 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.3% in August? | 30% | 32% | NO | 0.090 | 0.102 | bot |
| 2026-09-12 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.2% in August? | 3% | 3% | NO | 0.001 | 0.001 | tie |
| 2026-09-12 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.1% in August? | 0% | 6% | NO | 0.000 | 0.004 | bot |
| 2026-09-12 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.0% or less in August? | 1% | 2% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-12 | Will annual inflation be 4.0% or more in August? | 1% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-12 | Will annual inflation be 3.9% in August? | 2% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-12 | Will annual inflation be 3.8% in August? | 3% | 1% | NO | 0.001 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-12 | Will annual inflation be 3.7% in August? | 2% | 1% | NO | 0.001 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-12 | Will annual inflation be 3.6% in August? | 5% | 4% | NO | 0.003 | 0.002 | tie |
| 2026-09-12 | Will annual inflation be 3.5% in August? | 17% | 18% | NO | 0.029 | 0.032 | bot |
| 2026-09-12 | Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August? | 62% | 54% | YES | 0.144 | 0.216 | bot |
| 2026-09-12 | Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August? | 27% | 20% | NO | 0.073 | 0.042 | market |
| 2026-09-12 | Will annual inflation be 3.2% in August? | 3% | 7% | NO | 0.001 | 0.004 | bot |
| 2026-09-12 | Will annual inflation be 3.1% in August? | 2% | 1% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-12 | Will annual inflation be 3.0% in August? | 2% | 1% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-12 | Will annual inflation be 2.9% or less in August? | 2% | 0% | NO | 0.001 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-11 | Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 99.00 in September? | 92% | 76% | YES | 0.006 | 0.060 | bot |
| 2026-09-11 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September? | 80% | 91% | YES | 0.040 | 0.008 | market |
| 2026-09-11 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | 60% | 60% | YES | 0.156 | 0.164 | bot |
| 2026-09-10 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? | 74% | 90% | YES | 0.070 | 0.009 | market |
| 2026-09-10 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 in September? | 80% | 74% | YES | 0.038 | 0.065 | bot |
| 2026-09-09 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026? | 15% | 0% | NO | 0.022 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-09-08 | Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? | 2% | 1% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-08 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? | 52% | 52% | NO | 0.270 | 0.270 | tie |
| 2026-09-05 | Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? | 70% | 100% | YES | 0.090 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-09-05 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 6, 2026? | 72% | 50% | YES | 0.078 | 0.245 | bot |
| 2026-09-05 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 8, 2026? | 84% | 82% | YES | 0.026 | 0.032 | bot |
| 2026-09-05 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 7, 2026? | 78% | 74% | YES | 0.048 | 0.065 | bot |
| 2026-09-05 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 5, 2026? | 69% | 69% | YES | 0.096 | 0.096 | tie |
| 2026-09-05 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 11, 2026? | 84% | 96% | YES | 0.026 | 0.001 | market |
| 2026-09-05 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 9, 2026? | 83% | 94% | YES | 0.029 | 0.004 | market |
| 2026-09-05 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026? | 43% | 42% | YES | 0.325 | 0.335 | bot |
| 2026-09-05 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026? | 73% | 5% | NO | 0.533 | 0.002 | market |
| 2026-09-05 | Will GPT-6 be released by November 30, 2026? | 63% | 100% | YES | 0.137 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-09-05 | Will GPT-6 be released by October 31, 2026? | 56% | 100% | YES | 0.194 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-09-05 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026? | 98% | 98% | YES | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-05 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026? | 98% | 98% | YES | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-05 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026? | 88% | 100% | YES | 0.013 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-09-05 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026? | 82% | 100% | YES | 0.032 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-09-05 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | 40% | 99% | YES | 0.360 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-09-04 | Will ISM Services PMI be at least 58.0 in August? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-04 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 57.0 and 57.9 in August? | 2% | 6% | NO | 0.001 | 0.004 | bot |
| 2026-09-04 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in August? | 2% | 4% | NO | 0.000 | 0.001 | tie |
| 2026-09-04 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in August? | 18% | 17% | YES | 0.672 | 0.688 | bot |
| 2026-09-04 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in August? | 33% | 40% | NO | 0.109 | 0.156 | bot |
| 2026-09-04 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in August? | 23% | 28% | NO | 0.053 | 0.081 | bot |
| 2026-09-04 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 52.0 and 52.9 in August? | 12% | 11% | NO | 0.014 | 0.011 | market |
| 2026-09-04 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 51.0 and 51.9 in August? | 1% | 2% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-04 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 50.0 and 50.9 in August? | 1% | 6% | NO | 0.000 | 0.003 | bot |
| 2026-09-04 | Will ISM Services PMI be below 50.0 in August? | 1% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-03 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 2, 2026? | 28% | 24% | NO | 0.078 | 0.059 | market |
| 2026-09-03 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 30, 2026? | 3% | 3% | NO | 0.001 | 0.001 | tie |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in August? | 0% | 48% | NO | 0.000 | 0.226 | bot |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in August? | 10% | 10% | NO | 0.010 | 0.010 | tie |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Solana reach $110 in August? | 5% | 4% | NO | 0.003 | 0.002 | tie |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August? | 20% | 3% | NO | 0.040 | 0.001 | market |
| 2026-09-02 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026? | 46% | 44% | YES | 0.292 | 0.314 | bot |
| 2026-09-02 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 7, 2026? | 76% | 78% | YES | 0.058 | 0.046 | market |
| 2026-09-02 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026? | 73% | 76% | YES | 0.073 | 0.060 | market |
| 2026-09-02 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026? | 61% | 62% | YES | 0.152 | 0.141 | market |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Solana dip to $100 in August? | 2% | 17% | NO | 0.000 | 0.029 | bot |
| 2026-09-02 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August? | 19% | 0% | NO | 0.036 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-09-02 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by October 31, 2026? | 86% | 96% | YES | 0.020 | 0.002 | market |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Solana dip to $90 in August? | 36% | 0% | NO | 0.133 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August? | 7% | 0% | NO | 0.005 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August? | 18% | 0% | NO | 0.032 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August? | 15% | 0% | NO | 0.022 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August? | 22% | 1% | NO | 0.048 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-09-02 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026? | 80% | 84% | YES | 0.040 | 0.027 | market |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in August? | 13% | 0% | NO | 0.017 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in August? | 22% | 0% | NO | 0.047 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in August? | 12% | 0% | NO | 0.014 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in August? | 15% | 0% | NO | 0.022 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in August? | 11% | 2% | NO | 0.012 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August? | 18% | 0% | NO | 0.031 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Solana dip to $80 in August? | 14% | 0% | NO | 0.020 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in August? | 7% | 0% | NO | 0.005 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in August? | 4% | 0% | NO | 0.002 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August? | 8% | 0% | NO | 0.007 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in August? | 4% | 0% | NO | 0.001 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-09-02 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026? | 88% | 90% | YES | 0.014 | 0.009 | market |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August? | 2% | 0% | NO | 0.001 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-02 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026? | 2% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Solana dip to $10 in August? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Solana dip to $20 in August? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Solana dip to $30 in August? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Solana dip to $40 in August? | 1% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Solana dip to $50 in August? | 2% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Solana dip to $60 in August? | 2% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Solana dip to $70 in August? | 4% | 0% | NO | 0.002 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Solana reach $120 in August? | 3% | 0% | NO | 0.001 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Solana reach $130 in August? | 10% | 0% | NO | 0.011 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Solana reach $140 in August? | 4% | 0% | NO | 0.001 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Solana reach $150 in August? | 2% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Solana reach $160 in August? | 1% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Ethereum dip to $900 in August? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in August? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in August? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in August? | 1% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in August? | 1% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in August? | 2% | 0% | NO | 0.001 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in August? | 4% | 0% | NO | 0.002 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August? | 1% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in August? | 1% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in August? | 2% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August? | 13% | 1% | NO | 0.017 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in August? | 24% | 1% | NO | 0.058 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August? | 6% | 0% | NO | 0.004 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in August? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in August? | 1% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August? | 1% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August? | 3% | 0% | NO | 0.001 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August? | 4% | 0% | NO | 0.001 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? | 1% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August? | 1% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? | 2% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August? | 58% | 0% | NO | 0.336 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | 2% | 0% | NO | 0.001 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August? | 2% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-02 | Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.50 on August 31, 2026? | 8% | 14% | NO | 0.007 | 0.021 | bot |
| 2026-09-02 | Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on August 31, 2026? | 2% | 8% | NO | 0.000 | 0.006 | bot |
| 2026-09-02 | Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on August 31, 2026? | 64% | 80% | YES | 0.130 | 0.042 | market |
| 2026-09-02 | Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on August 31, 2026? | 34% | 22% | NO | 0.116 | 0.046 | market |
| 2026-09-02 | Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $5.50 on August 31, 2026? | 5% | 2% | NO | 0.003 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-09-02 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31? | 1% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-02 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | 1% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-02 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | 1% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-02 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? | 2% | 0% | NO | 0.001 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-02 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026? | 86% | 90% | YES | 0.021 | 0.009 | market |
| 2026-09-02 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026? | 22% | 3% | NO | 0.048 | 0.001 | market |
| 2026-09-02 | SHEIN IPO before 2027? | 97% | 100% | YES | 0.001 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-01 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 in August? | 20% | 40% | NO | 0.040 | 0.160 | bot |
| 2026-09-01 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in August? | 13% | 6% | NO | 0.017 | 0.004 | market |
| 2026-09-01 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in August? | 22% | 18% | NO | 0.048 | 0.034 | market |
| 2026-09-01 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 in August? | 17% | 17% | NO | 0.029 | 0.029 | tie |
| 2026-09-01 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $272 in August? | 3% | 0% | NO | 0.001 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-01 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in August? | 6% | 5% | NO | 0.004 | 0.002 | market |
| 2026-09-01 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 in August? | 65% | 58% | NO | 0.422 | 0.336 | market |
| 2026-09-01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August? | 1% | 1% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-01 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 31, 2026? | 14% | 98% | YES | 0.748 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-09-01 | Will at least 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-01 | Will at least 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? | 1% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-01 | Will at least 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-01 | Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-01 | Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? | 1% | 1% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-01 | Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $7.00 and $7.50 on August 31, 2026? | 18% | 0% | NO | 0.031 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-09-01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in August? | 1% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August? | 1% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August? | 3% | 0% | NO | 0.001 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? | 4% | 0% | NO | 0.001 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-09-01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? | 2% | 1% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in August? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in August? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in August? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in August? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? | 2% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | 2% | 3% | NO | 0.001 | 0.001 | tie |
| 2026-09-01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? | 1% | 1% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August? | 4% | 0% | NO | 0.001 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-09-01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August? | 1% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August? | 1% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August? | 1% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-01 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $46 in August? | 1% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-01 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $48 in August? | 1% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-01 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in August? | 1% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-01 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in August? | 1% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-01 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in August? | 6% | 1% | NO | 0.003 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-09-01 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in August? | 6% | 1% | NO | 0.004 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-09-01 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in August? | 28% | 3% | NO | 0.081 | 0.001 | market |
| 2026-09-01 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $152 in August? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-01 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in August? | 2% | 0% | NO | 0.001 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-01 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in August? | 2% | 0% | NO | 0.001 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-01 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in August? | 2% | 0% | NO | 0.001 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-09-01 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in August? | 8% | 1% | NO | 0.006 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-09-01 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in August? | 12% | 1% | NO | 0.013 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-09-01 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in August? | 60% | 2% | NO | 0.360 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-09-01 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in August? | 18% | 2% | NO | 0.032 | 0.001 | market |
| 2026-09-01 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in August? | 10% | 0% | NO | 0.010 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-09-01 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 in August? | 4% | 1% | NO | 0.001 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-09-01 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | 96% | 99% | YES | 0.001 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-08-31 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in August? | 70% | 68% | YES | 0.090 | 0.102 | bot |
| 2026-08-31 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in August? | 59% | 58% | YES | 0.168 | 0.172 | bot |
| 2026-08-31 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $66 in August? | 69% | 69% | YES | 0.096 | 0.095 | tie |
| 2026-08-31 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August? | 32% | 30% | YES | 0.462 | 0.483 | bot |
| 2026-08-31 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in August? | 32% | 28% | YES | 0.462 | 0.511 | bot |
| 2026-08-31 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 29, 2026? | 10% | 2% | NO | 0.010 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-08-30 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 28, 2026? | 13% | 1% | NO | 0.017 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-08-29 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 in August? | 63% | 62% | YES | 0.137 | 0.141 | bot |
| 2026-08-29 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in August? | 72% | 72% | YES | 0.078 | 0.078 | tie |
| 2026-08-29 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $224 in August? | 65% | 46% | YES | 0.122 | 0.296 | bot |
| 2026-08-29 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in August? | 46% | 36% | YES | 0.292 | 0.403 | bot |
| 2026-08-29 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 27, 2026? | 9% | 1% | NO | 0.009 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-08-28 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August? | 78% | 70% | YES | 0.051 | 0.093 | bot |
| 2026-08-28 | Will Solana reach $110 in August? | 16% | 23% | YES | 0.702 | 0.588 | market |
| 2026-08-28 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 26, 2026? | 10% | 3% | NO | 0.009 | 0.001 | market |
| 2026-08-28 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 25, 2026? | 11% | 1% | NO | 0.012 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-08-28 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | 96% | 99% | YES | 0.002 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-08-27 | Will Solana reach $100 in August? | 58% | 50% | YES | 0.176 | 0.250 | bot |
| 2026-08-27 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in August? | 76% | 76% | YES | 0.058 | 0.058 | tie |
| 2026-08-27 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 24, 2026? | 8% | 1% | NO | 0.007 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-08-25 | Will Solana reach $100 in August? | 66% | 67% | YES | 0.116 | 0.109 | market |
| 2026-08-25 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in August? | 84% | 88% | YES | 0.027 | 0.016 | market |
| 2026-08-25 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August? | 63% | 64% | YES | 0.135 | 0.131 | market |
| 2026-08-25 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 23, 2026? | 10% | 2% | NO | 0.011 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-08-25 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? | 90% | 90% | YES | 0.011 | 0.011 | tie |
| 2026-08-24 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in August? | 91% | 87% | YES | 0.008 | 0.017 | bot |
| 2026-08-24 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-08-24 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 22, 2026? | 2% | 1% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-08-23 | Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? | 85% | 85% | YES | 0.022 | 0.022 | tie |
| 2026-08-23 | Will Solana dip to $90 in August? | 70% | 57% | YES | 0.090 | 0.185 | bot |
| 2026-08-23 | Will Solana reach $100 in August? | 52% | 52% | YES | 0.226 | 0.228 | bot |
| 2026-08-23 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 21, 2026? | 6% | 2% | NO | 0.004 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-08-23 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 19, 2026? | 8% | 1% | NO | 0.006 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-08-23 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? | 1% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-08-22 | Will Solana reach $90 in August? | 88% | 88% | YES | 0.015 | 0.015 | tie |
| 2026-08-22 | Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in August? | 80% | 78% | YES | 0.041 | 0.048 | bot |
| 2026-08-22 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in August? | 47% | 46% | YES | 0.277 | 0.296 | bot |
| 2026-08-22 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August? | 82% | 78% | YES | 0.031 | 0.047 | bot |
| 2026-08-22 | Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August? | 46% | 43% | YES | 0.295 | 0.324 | bot |
| 2026-08-22 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 20, 2026? | 2% | 2% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-08-22 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026? | 3% | 3% | NO | 0.001 | 0.001 | tie |
| 2026-08-22 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026? | 6% | 86% | YES | 0.884 | 0.020 | market |
| 2026-08-22 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in August? | 68% | 68% | YES | 0.099 | 0.099 | tie |
| 2026-08-22 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 by December 31, 2026? | 85% | 85% | YES | 0.022 | 0.022 | tie |
| 2026-08-22 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026? | 90% | 90% | YES | 0.009 | 0.009 | tie |
| 2026-08-21 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August? | 3% | 48% | YES | 0.941 | 0.272 | market |
| 2026-08-21 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 in August? | 74% | 84% | YES | 0.065 | 0.026 | market |
| 2026-08-20 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | 87% | 100% | YES | 0.018 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-08-20 | Will Hyperliquid reach $70 by December 31, 2026? | 48% | 42% | YES | 0.265 | 0.331 | bot |
| 2026-08-20 | Will Solana reach $80 in August? | 41% | 57% | YES | 0.348 | 0.181 | market |
| 2026-08-20 | Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in August? | 46% | 52% | YES | 0.286 | 0.226 | market |
| 2026-08-20 | Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in August? | 18% | 18% | YES | 0.681 | 0.664 | market |
| 2026-08-20 | Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in August? | 8% | 8% | YES | 0.856 | 0.856 | tie |
| 2026-08-20 | Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in August? | 3% | 3% | YES | 0.949 | 0.940 | market |
| 2026-08-20 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August? | 24% | 36% | YES | 0.585 | 0.416 | market |
| 2026-08-20 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? | 8% | 10% | YES | 0.837 | 0.801 | market |
| 2026-08-20 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? | 25% | 99% | YES | 0.562 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-08-20 | Will Ethereum reach $2,000 by December 31, 2026? | 83% | 88% | YES | 0.029 | 0.016 | market |
| 2026-08-20 | Will Ethereum reach $2,250 by December 31, 2026? | 56% | 57% | YES | 0.189 | 0.181 | market |
| 2026-08-20 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | 68% | 69% | YES | 0.099 | 0.096 | market |
| 2026-08-20 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? | 74% | 100% | YES | 0.068 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-08-19 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in August? | 96% | 50% | YES | 0.001 | 0.250 | bot |
| 2026-08-19 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August? | 60% | 82% | YES | 0.156 | 0.034 | market |
| 2026-08-18 | Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in August? | 92% | 91% | YES | 0.006 | 0.008 | bot |
| 2026-08-18 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August? | 64% | 62% | YES | 0.126 | 0.148 | bot |
| 2026-08-18 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 14, 2026? | 9% | 1% | NO | 0.008 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-08-17 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 16, 2026? | 6% | 7% | NO | 0.004 | 0.005 | bot |
| 2026-08-16 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026? | 1% | 1% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-08-16 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 15, 2026? | 4% | 4% | NO | 0.002 | 0.002 | tie |
| 2026-08-16 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 15? | 1% | 1% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-08-16 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-08-16 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | 99% | 100% | YES | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-08-16 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | 1% | 1% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-08-15 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026? | 1% | 1% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-08-15 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-08-14 | Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in August? | 96% | 50% | YES | 0.002 | 0.250 | bot |
| 2026-08-14 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026? | 1% | 1% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-08-14 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 13, 2026? | 4% | 3% | NO | 0.001 | 0.001 | tie |
| 2026-08-14 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 11, 2026? | 6% | 1% | NO | 0.004 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-08-13 | Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in August? | 97% | 92% | YES | 0.001 | 0.006 | bot |
| 2026-08-13 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026? | 1% | 1% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-08-13 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 12, 2026? | 12% | 12% | NO | 0.013 | 0.013 | tie |
| 2026-08-13 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 12, 2026? | 89% | 89% | YES | 0.012 | 0.012 | tie |
| 2026-08-13 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 11, 2026? | 90% | 80% | NO | 0.810 | 0.640 | market |
| 2026-08-13 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | 97% | 97% | YES | 0.001 | 0.001 | tie |
| 2026-08-13 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | 97% | 97% | YES | 0.001 | 0.001 | tie |
| 2026-08-13 | Will annual inflation be 4.2% or more in July? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-08-13 | Will annual inflation be 4.1% in July? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-08-13 | Will annual inflation be 4.0% in July? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-08-13 | Will annual inflation be 3.9% in July? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-08-13 | Will annual inflation be 3.8% in July? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-08-13 | Will annual inflation be 3.7% in July? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-08-13 | Will annual inflation be 3.6% in July? | 4% | 5% | NO | 0.002 | 0.002 | tie |
| 2026-08-13 | Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July? | 14% | 14% | NO | 0.018 | 0.021 | bot |
| 2026-08-13 | Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July? | 37% | 39% | YES | 0.401 | 0.372 | market |
| 2026-08-13 | Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July? | 35% | 38% | NO | 0.125 | 0.144 | bot |
| 2026-08-13 | Will annual inflation be 3.2% in July? | 6% | 6% | NO | 0.003 | 0.004 | tie |
| 2026-08-13 | Will annual inflation be 3.1% or less in July? | 4% | 4% | NO | 0.002 | 0.002 | tie |
| 2026-08-12 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026? | 1% | 1% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-08-12 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 10, 2026? | 88% | 92% | YES | 0.014 | 0.006 | market |
| 2026-08-11 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in August? | 99% | 94% | YES | 0.000 | 0.003 | bot |
| 2026-08-11 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026? | 3% | 1% | NO | 0.001 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-08-11 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in August? | 86% | 82% | YES | 0.021 | 0.034 | bot |
| 2026-08-11 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 10, 2026? | 6% | 6% | NO | 0.004 | 0.004 | tie |
| 2026-08-11 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 8, 2026? | 1% | 2% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-08-11 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 9, 2026? | 82% | 89% | YES | 0.032 | 0.012 | market |
| 2026-08-11 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 in August? | 65% | 66% | YES | 0.122 | 0.119 | market |
| 2026-08-10 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026? | 4% | 4% | NO | 0.002 | 0.002 | tie |
| 2026-08-10 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 9, 2026? | 5% | 6% | NO | 0.003 | 0.004 | bot |
| 2026-08-10 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026? | 5% | 1% | NO | 0.003 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-08-10 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 8, 2026? | 81% | 90% | YES | 0.036 | 0.010 | market |
| 2026-08-10 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | 98% | 99% | YES | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-08-09 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026? | 100% | 10% | NO | 0.990 | 0.011 | market |
| 2026-08-09 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 7, 2026? | 7% | 2% | NO | 0.005 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-08-09 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | 15% | 1% | NO | 0.022 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-08-08 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August? | 90% | 90% | YES | 0.010 | 0.011 | bot |
| 2026-08-08 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 4, 2026? | 4% | 2% | NO | 0.002 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-08-08 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 7, 2026? | 91% | 91% | YES | 0.008 | 0.008 | tie |
| 2026-08-08 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in August? | 74% | 62% | YES | 0.068 | 0.144 | bot |
| 2026-08-08 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in August? | 86% | 82% | YES | 0.020 | 0.032 | bot |
| 2026-08-08 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-08-08 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? | 5% | 1% | NO | 0.003 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-08-08 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-08-07 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 5, 2026? | 20% | 2% | NO | 0.038 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-08-07 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 6, 2026? | 79% | 80% | YES | 0.044 | 0.042 | market |
| 2026-08-06 | Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in August? | 87% | 87% | YES | 0.016 | 0.016 | tie |
| 2026-08-06 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August? | 82% | 82% | YES | 0.031 | 0.031 | tie |
| 2026-08-06 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 5, 2026? | 89% | 88% | YES | 0.012 | 0.013 | bot |
| 2026-08-06 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 4, 2026? | 82% | 66% | YES | 0.031 | 0.116 | bot |
| 2026-08-06 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August? | 100% | 100% | YES | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-08-06 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 in August? | 74% | 72% | YES | 0.068 | 0.078 | bot |
| 2026-08-06 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $216 in August? | 94% | 94% | YES | 0.004 | 0.004 | tie |
| 2026-08-05 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? | 100% | 100% | YES | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-08-05 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $60 in August? | 100% | 100% | YES | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-07-10 | GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026? | 96% | 97% | YES | 0.001 | 0.001 | tie |
| 2026-07-10 | GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026? | 99% | 100% | YES | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-07-10 | GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026? | 99% | 99% | YES | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-07-10 | GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026? | 100% | 100% | YES | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-07-10 | GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026? | 100% | 100% | YES | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-07-10 | GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026? | 98% | 99% | YES | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-07-10 | GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? | 100% | 100% | YES | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-07-09 | GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026? | 4% | 4% | NO | 0.001 | 0.001 | tie |
| 2026-07-08 | GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026? | 5% | 5% | NO | 0.003 | 0.003 | tie |
| 2026-07-08 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? | 2% | 1% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-07-07 | GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026? | 1% | 1% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-07-05 | Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30? | 2% | 6% | NO | 0.000 | 0.003 | bot |
| 2026-07-04 | GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026? | 1% | 1% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-07-01 | Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-07-01 | Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-07-01 | Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-07-01 | Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-07-01 | Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-07-01 | Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-07-01 | Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-07-01 | Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-07-01 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-07-01 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-07-01 | Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-07-01 | Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-07-01 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-07-01 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | 100% | 100% | YES | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-07-01 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-07-01 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-07-01 | GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? | 1% | 1% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-06-27 | GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026? | 2% | 3% | NO | 0.001 | 0.001 | tie |
| 2026-06-25 | GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026? | 6% | 1% | NO | 0.003 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-06-18 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-06-18 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-06-18 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | 100% | 100% | YES | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-06-18 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-06-18 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-06-18 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026? | 100% | 100% | YES | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-06-18 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? | 100% | 100% | YES | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-06-18 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | 100% | 100% | YES | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-06-18 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | 100% | 100% | YES | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-06-17 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? | 15% | 1% | NO | 0.022 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-06-17 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 94% | 97% | YES | 0.004 | 0.001 | market |
| 2026-06-16 | GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026? | 0% | 2% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-06-15 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19? | 67% | 67% | YES | 0.109 | 0.109 | tie |
| 2026-06-15 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18? | 64% | 64% | YES | 0.130 | 0.130 | tie |
| 2026-06-15 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17? | 60% | 60% | YES | 0.160 | 0.160 | tie |
| 2026-06-15 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16? | 52% | 51% | YES | 0.230 | 0.240 | bot |
| 2026-06-15 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 | 25% | 24% | YES | 0.562 | 0.570 | bot |
| 2026-06-15 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? | 87% | 88% | YES | 0.017 | 0.016 | market |
| 2026-06-15 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | 78% | 79% | YES | 0.048 | 0.044 | market |
| 2026-06-12 | Iran closes its airspace by June 15? | 100% | 100% | YES | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-06-12 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | 100% | 100% | YES | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-06-11 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-06-09 | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | 100% | 100% | YES | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-06-09 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-06-09 | GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026? | 1% | 1% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-06-08 | Iran closes its airspace by June 22? | 14% | 16% | YES | 0.740 | 0.714 | market |
| 2026-06-08 | Iran closes its airspace by July 31? | 34% | 32% | YES | 0.429 | 0.456 | bot |
| 2026-06-08 | Iran closes its airspace by July 15? | 28% | 26% | YES | 0.511 | 0.555 | bot |
| 2026-06-08 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | 1% | 1% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-06-07 | GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026? | 1% | 2% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-06-06 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5? | 4% | 1% | NO | 0.002 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-06-04 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3? | 3% | 2% | NO | 0.001 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-06-02 | Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by May 31? | 3% | 2% | NO | 0.001 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-06-01 | Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | 6% | 6% | NO | 0.003 | 0.003 | tie |
| 2026-06-01 | GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-06-01 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 2% | 2% | NO | 0.001 | 0.001 | tie |
| 2026-06-01 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-06-01 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-06-01 | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | 0% | 0% | NO | 0.000 | 0.000 | tie |
| 2026-05-31 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30? | 10% | 10% | NO | 0.010 | 0.009 | tie |
| 2026-05-31 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29? | 10% | 1% | NO | 0.010 | 0.000 | market |
| 2026-05-29 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28? | 14% | 4% | NO | 0.021 | 0.002 | market |
| Opened | Settled | Question | Side | Entry | Fee | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | 2026-11-03 | Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.00 on October 31, 2026? | YES | 0.38 | +$0.94 | +$61.06 |
| 2026-09-06 | 2026-11-03 | Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on October 31, 2026? | YES | 0.20 | +$0.64 | −$20.64 |
| 2026-09-29 | 2026-11-02 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? | YES | 0.75 | +$0.75 | −$75.75 |
| 2026-09-08 | 2026-11-02 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? | YES | 0.12 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
| 2026-08-08 | 2026-11-02 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | YES | 0.92 | $0.00 | −$92.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | 2026-11-01 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | YES | 0.36 | $0.00 | −$36.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | 2026-10-31 | Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%? | YES | 0.28 | $0.00 | −$28.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | 2026-10-31 | Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%? | YES | 0.23 | $0.00 | −$23.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | 2026-10-30 | Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? | NO | 0.15 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| 2026-10-22 | 2026-10-29 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? | YES | 0.86 | $0.00 | +$14.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | 2026-10-29 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | YES | 0.34 | $0.00 | +$66.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | 2026-10-25 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 23, 2026? | NO | 0.81 | $0.00 | +$19.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | 2026-10-24 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | NO | 0.24 | $0.00 | −$24.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | 2026-10-17 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | NO | 0.88 | $0.00 | +$12.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | 2026-10-16 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? | YES | 0.20 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | 2026-10-06 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | YES | 0.14 | +$0.48 | +$85.72 |
| 2026-10-01 | 2026-10-06 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? | YES | 0.16 | +$0.54 | −$16.54 |
| 2026-09-16 | 2026-10-03 | Will CDU win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | YES | 0.31 | +$0.86 | +$68.14 |
| 2026-09-08 | 2026-10-03 | Will CDU win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | YES | 0.38 | +$0.94 | +$61.06 |
| 2026-09-28 | 2026-10-02 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | YES | 0.15 | +$0.51 | −$15.51 |
| 2026-09-09 | 2026-10-02 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September? | YES | 0.48 | +$1.00 | −$49.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | 2026-10-02 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in September? | YES | 0.12 | +$0.74 | −$12.74 |
| 2026-09-24 | 2026-10-02 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | YES | 0.41 | +$1.69 | −$42.69 |
| 2026-08-08 | 2026-10-02 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | YES | 0.87 | $0.00 | −$87.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | 2026-10-02 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | NO | 0.79 | $0.00 | +$21.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | 2026-10-01 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in September? | NO | 0.35 | +$0.91 | −$35.91 |
| 2026-09-08 | 2026-10-01 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in September? | NO | 0.90 | +$0.36 | +$9.64 |
| 2026-09-08 | 2026-10-01 | Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 97.00 in September? | YES | 0.12 | +$0.43 | −$12.53 |
| 2026-09-13 | 2026-10-01 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | NO | 0.12 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | 2026-09-29 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? | NO | 0.45 | +$1.24 | −$46.54 |
| 2026-09-08 | 2026-09-29 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in September? | NO | 0.62 | +$0.94 | −$62.94 |
| 2026-09-08 | 2026-09-27 | Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026? | YES | 0.52 | +$1.00 | +$47.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | 2026-09-24 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.1% before 2027? | YES | 0.73 | +$0.99 | +$26.01 |
| 2026-08-08 | 2026-09-23 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | YES | 0.73 | $0.00 | +$27.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | 2026-09-23 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | NO | 0.58 | $0.00 | −$58.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | 2026-09-22 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September? | YES | 0.64 | +$1.61 | +$34.39 |
| 2026-09-18 | 2026-09-22 | Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026? | NO | 0.64 | +$0.92 | +$35.38 |
| 2026-09-08 | 2026-09-22 | Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026? | NO | 0.88 | +$0.42 | +$11.38 |
| 2026-09-08 | 2026-09-21 | Will BSW win less than 3% of all valid second votes? | NO | 0.74 | +$0.77 | +$25.23 |
| 2026-09-08 | 2026-09-21 | Will AfD win between 32% and 35% of all valid second votes? | YES | 0.20 | +$0.64 | −$20.64 |
| 2026-09-19 | 2026-09-21 | Will Linke win between 20% and 23% of all valid second votes? | YES | 0.47 | +$1.00 | −$48.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | 2026-09-21 | Will Linke win between 20% and 23% of all valid second votes? | YES | 0.34 | +$0.90 | −$34.90 |
| 2026-09-05 | 2026-09-17 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | NO | 0.52 | +$1.25 | +$46.75 |
| 2026-09-12 | 2026-09-16 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? | YES | 0.85 | +$0.64 | +$14.36 |
| 2026-09-08 | 2026-09-16 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? | YES | 0.49 | +$1.25 | +$49.75 |
| 2026-09-14 | 2026-09-15 | Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in September? | YES | 0.89 | +$0.70 | +$10.50 |
| 2026-08-14 | 2026-09-12 | Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August? | NO | 0.64 | +$1.15 | −$65.15 |
| 2026-09-10 | 2026-09-12 | Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August? | YES | 0.48 | +$1.25 | +$50.75 |
| 2026-08-08 | 2026-09-08 | Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? | YES | 0.59 | $0.00 | −$59.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | 2026-09-05 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026? | NO | 0.59 | +$0.97 | −$59.97 |
| 2026-09-01 | 2026-09-05 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026? | NO | 0.64 | +$0.92 | −$64.92 |
| 2026-08-31 | 2026-09-05 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026? | NO | 0.33 | +$0.88 | −$33.88 |
| 2026-08-08 | 2026-09-03 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 30, 2026? | NO | 0.89 | $0.00 | +$11.00 |
| 2026-08-07 | 2026-09-02 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026? | NO | 0.36 | +$0.92 | +$63.08 |
| 2026-08-28 | 2026-09-02 | Will Solana reach $120 in August? | NO | 0.75 | +$1.31 | +$23.59 |
| 2026-08-28 | 2026-09-02 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | YES | 0.25 | +$1.30 | −$26.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | 2026-09-02 | Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on August 31, 2026? | NO | 0.32 | +$0.87 | −$32.87 |
| 2026-08-28 | 2026-09-02 | Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on August 31, 2026? | NO | 0.48 | +$1.00 | +$51.00 |
| 2026-08-08 | 2026-09-02 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | YES | 0.45 | $0.00 | −$45.00 |
| 2026-08-08 | 2026-09-02 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | YES | 0.78 | $0.00 | −$78.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | 2026-09-02 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026? | NO | 0.70 | +$0.84 | +$29.16 |
| 2026-08-31 | 2026-09-01 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 in August? | NO | 0.65 | +$0.91 | +$34.09 |
| 2026-08-31 | 2026-09-01 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 in August? | YES | 0.63 | +$0.93 | −$63.93 |
| 2026-08-07 | 2026-09-01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August? | YES | 0.81 | +$0.62 | −$81.62 |
| 2026-08-08 | 2026-09-01 | Will at least 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? | YES | 0.20 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| 2026-08-08 | 2026-09-01 | Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? | YES | 0.24 | $0.00 | −$24.00 |
| 2026-08-08 | 2026-09-01 | Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? | YES | 0.40 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| 2026-08-08 | 2026-09-01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August? | YES | 0.25 | +$0.75 | −$25.75 |
| 2026-08-08 | 2026-09-01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? | NO | 0.87 | +$0.45 | +$12.55 |
| 2026-08-08 | 2026-09-01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August? | YES | 0.05 | +$0.20 | −$5.50 |
| 2026-08-08 | 2026-09-01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? | YES | 0.53 | +$1.00 | −$54.00 |
| 2026-08-08 | 2026-09-01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | NO | 0.79 | +$0.66 | +$20.34 |
| 2026-08-08 | 2026-09-01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? | NO | 0.91 | +$0.33 | +$8.67 |
| 2026-08-28 | 2026-08-31 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in August? | YES | 0.33 | +$1.55 | +$65.45 |
| 2026-08-08 | 2026-08-24 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026? | YES | 0.75 | $0.00 | −$75.00 |
| 2026-08-08 | 2026-08-24 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 22, 2026? | NO | 0.89 | $0.00 | +$11.00 |
| 2026-08-07 | 2026-08-23 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? | NO | 0.78 | +$0.68 | +$21.22 |
| 2026-08-09 | 2026-08-22 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026? | NO | 0.86 | $0.00 | +$14.00 |
| 2026-08-12 | 2026-08-19 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August? | YES | 0.72 | +$1.41 | +$26.59 |
| 2026-08-08 | 2026-08-18 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August? | NO | 0.67 | +$0.88 | −$67.88 |
| 2026-08-08 | 2026-08-18 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 14, 2026? | NO | 0.89 | $0.00 | +$11.00 |
| 2026-08-08 | 2026-08-17 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 16, 2026? | NO | 0.87 | $0.00 | +$13.00 |
| 2026-08-08 | 2026-08-16 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 15, 2026? | NO | 0.87 | $0.00 | +$13.00 |
| 2026-08-08 | 2026-08-16 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | YES | 0.11 | $0.00 | −$11.00 |
| 2026-08-08 | 2026-08-16 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | YES | 0.60 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
| 2026-08-08 | 2026-08-15 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026? | YES | 0.61 | $0.00 | −$61.00 |
| 2026-08-08 | 2026-08-14 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026? | YES | 0.56 | $0.00 | −$56.00 |
| 2026-08-09 | 2026-08-14 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 13, 2026? | NO | 0.83 | $0.00 | +$17.00 |
| 2026-08-08 | 2026-08-14 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 11, 2026? | NO | 0.93 | $0.00 | +$7.00 |
| 2026-08-08 | 2026-08-13 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | YES | 0.92 | $0.00 | +$8.00 |
| 2026-08-08 | 2026-08-12 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026? | YES | 0.42 | $0.00 | −$42.00 |
| 2026-08-08 | 2026-08-11 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026? | YES | 0.32 | $0.00 | −$32.00 |
| 2026-08-08 | 2026-08-11 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in August? | NO | 0.37 | +$0.93 | −$37.93 |
| 2026-08-08 | 2026-08-10 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026? | YES | 0.21 | $0.00 | −$21.00 |
| 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-10 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026? | NO | 0.86 | $0.00 | +$14.00 |
| 2026-08-08 | 2026-08-09 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026? | YES | 0.11 | $0.00 | −$11.00 |
| 2026-08-07 | 2026-08-08 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in August? | YES | 0.64 | +$0.92 | +$35.08 |
| 2026-05-26 | 2026-08-04 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May? | YES | 0.18 | +$0.60 | −$19.10 |
| 2026-05-26 | 2026-08-04 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May? | YES | 0.24 | +$0.74 | −$25.24 |
| 2026-07-05 | 2026-07-10 | GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026? | NO | 0.18 | +$0.74 | −$18.74 |
| 2026-05-27 | 2026-07-10 | GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? | YES | 0.79 | +$0.84 | +$20.46 |
| 2026-07-05 | 2026-07-09 | GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026? | NO | 0.40 | +$1.19 | +$59.31 |
| 2026-07-05 | 2026-07-08 | GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026? | NO | 0.54 | +$1.24 | +$45.26 |
| 2026-06-24 | 2026-07-07 | GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026? | NO | 0.54 | +$1.24 | +$45.26 |
| 2026-05-27 | 2026-07-05 | Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30? | YES | 0.23 | +$0.90 | −$24.40 |
| 2026-05-27 | 2026-07-01 | GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? | YES | 0.77 | +$0.89 | −$77.89 |
| 2026-06-15 | 2026-06-17 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | YES | 0.85 | +$0.65 | +$14.80 |
| 2026-05-26 | 2026-06-17 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | YES | 0.53 | +$1.25 | +$46.25 |
| 2026-05-27 | 2026-06-16 | GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026? | YES | 0.53 | +$1.25 | −$53.75 |
| 2026-05-27 | 2026-06-12 | Iran closes its airspace by June 15? | YES | 0.20 | +$0.78 | +$79.72 |
| 2026-05-27 | 2026-06-12 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | YES | 0.26 | +$0.95 | +$73.50 |
| 2026-05-27 | 2026-06-09 | GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026? | YES | 0.12 | +$0.55 | −$13.05 |
| 2026-05-27 | 2026-06-07 | GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026? | YES | 0.07 | +$0.33 | −$7.33 |
| 2026-05-27 | 2026-06-01 | Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | YES | 0.09 | +$0.41 | −$9.36 |
| 2026-05-27 | 2026-05-31 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30? | NO | 0.58 | +$1.21 | +$40.29 |
| 2026-05-27 | 2026-05-31 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29? | NO | 0.67 | +$1.11 | +$31.89 |
| 2026-05-27 | 2026-05-29 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28? | NO | 0.78 | +$0.86 | +$21.14 |